Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.469477 0.551468 0.641507 0.747446 0.868391 1.001863 1.160002
2024-10-27 0.342064 0.450327 0.581055 0.749305 0.958741 1.209394 1.530454
2024-11-03 0.267925 0.389135 0.547786 0.767751 1.061450 1.436305 1.946482
2024-11-10 0.214502 0.340026 0.516388 0.777109 1.146481 1.643785 2.355027
2024-11-17 0.174564 0.299730 0.487196 0.780553 1.218205 1.835099 2.755261
2024-11-24 0.146706 0.270977 0.468179 0.792792 1.299530 2.042745 3.191949
2024-12-01 0.123139 0.243861 0.446175 0.795272 1.363405 2.227263 3.606948
2024-12-08 0.099386 0.211273 0.409367 0.767550 1.374753 2.330870 3.906124
2024-12-15 0.088477 0.199784 0.406187 0.794218 1.474497 2.576652 4.438735
2024-12-22 0.078309 0.187584 0.399530 0.813146 1.561789 2.807692 4.962690
2024-12-29 0.073151 0.184543 0.409198 0.861940 1.704000 3.137551 5.666599
2025-01-05 0.063012 0.168700 0.391531 0.857154 1.749869 3.308374 6.118348
2025-01-12 0.053647 0.152890 0.372038 0.847365 1.787363 3.470739 6.573023
2025-01-19 0.045907 0.139219 0.354874 0.839929 1.828271 3.641900 7.054557
2025-01-26 0.041041 0.131667 0.349852 0.856684 1.916934 3.904415 7.712499
2025-02-02 0.036309 0.123353 0.341728 0.865609 1.990465 4.143726 8.343187
2025-02-09 0.031895 0.114834 0.331694 0.868876 2.052323 4.364761 8.953214
2025-02-16 0.028577 0.108692 0.326445 0.882121 2.135645 4.631517 9.662483
2025-02-23 0.025190 0.101452 0.317198 0.884770 2.196309 4.857776 10.308063
2025-03-02 0.020942 0.090182 0.295359 0.854302 2.181744 4.933948 10.671219
2025-03-09 0.019445 0.087911 0.297684 0.883574 2.302265 5.288494 11.591793
2025-03-16 0.017800 0.084664 0.296725 0.904346 2.405047 5.612773 12.469574
2025-03-23 0.017283 0.085545 0.307936 0.957878 2.587702 6.112616 13.720332